Conservative Party Members Prefer Bernier As Leader

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Conservative Party Members Prefer Bernier As Leader

Clement, Scheer tied in second place

Please note: Due to a tabulating error, rankings for Conservative Party leadership candidates in our previous release, dated October 16, were incorrect. They have been corrected here. We apologize for any inconvenience or confusion this may have caused.

In a random sampling of opinion taken by the Forum Poll across one week among 136 members of Canada’s Conservative Party, the plurality pick Maxime Bernier as their choice for permanent leader (16%), and he is followed by Tony Clement (now withdrawn from the race) and Andrew Scheer at about one sixth (12% and 13%, respectively). After this, in a third tier of preference, come Kellie Leitch (10%), Chris Alexander and Michael Chong (8% each). Few prefer Brad Trost (3%) or Erin O’Toole (1%).

Bernier’s strength is apparent in Quebec, but he is also tied in Ontario (14% - caution: small base size), with Andrew Scheer and Tony Clement  (16% and 14%, respectively - caution: small base size). He is also ahead in BC and Alberta. Bernier also leads among older members.

“It would be a mistake to ascribe Maxime Bernier’s popularity solely to his appeal in Quebec, where there are few members. He is popular across the country and he has proposed a number of interesting policy solutions, including tax reform and free trade within Canada for, among other things, maple syrup” said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.