Tory Doubles Up Doug Ford in Heah-to-Head Electoral Contest

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Tory Doubles Up Doug Ford in Heah-to-Head Electoral Contest

Add Cressy and little changes

TORONTO November 16th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 778 Toronto voters, more than half would vote to re-elect John Tory as mayor if an election were held today (53%) while just half as many as this would vote for Doug Ford, if he ran (24%). A similar number of voters would want to vote for someone else (23%). Support for Tory is common to older voters (55 to 64 - 62%), in North York (61%), and those who don’t commute to work or school (67%). Doug Ford’s supporters are characteristically the least wealthy (30%), in Etobicoke and York (30% each) and Scarborough (33%) and among the least educated (secondary school or less - 38%). Those who commute by private vehicle are also supporters (31%).

When progressive councillor Joe Cressy (who has not indicated any desire to run) is added to the mix, little changes. John Tory still receives half the vote (49%) and Doug Ford about a quarter (27%). Cressy gets less than a tenth of the vote (8%) and about one sixth prefer someone else (16%). Support for Cressy is characteristic of the wealthy ($80K to $100K - 13%), in the downtown (15%), among the most educated (post grad - 12%), those who commute by bicycle (30%) and among those who voted for Olivia Chow in 2014 (20%).

“It’s early times to talk about the 2018 election, of course, but it appears John Tory is widely preferred to another member of the Ford dynasty. And when we add a progressive councillor as a placeholder on the left, little changes. The centre holds,” said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.