Liberals Expected to Win, NDP Just Behind

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Liberals Expected to Win, NDP Just Behind

NDP’s campaign thought to be the best, Liberals just behind

Toronto, May 2nd – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1067 British Columbia voters, the Liberals (37%) and the NDP (36%) are virtually tied for who BC Voters expect to win on May 9th, with the Liberals having a slight edge over their opposition. Few (5%) think the Green Party has a chance at winning, and (22%) are not ready to make a prediction and responded do not know.

Respondents most likely to say that the Liberals will win include those aged 65+ (50%), males (41%), the most wealthy (52%), with some college/university (42%), and living in Vancouver/Lower Mainland (39%).

Respondents most likely to say the NDP will in include those aged 34 or younger (45%) or 35-44 (42%), earning $60,000-$80,000 (46%) or $80,000-$100,000 (48%), with a post-graduate degree (42%), and living on Vancouver Island.

NDP campaign statistically tied with Liberals

When asked which party was running the best campaign, irrespective of their own voting intentions, the NDP (27%) and the Liberals (25%) were statistically tied, with the Green party (19%) nearby, but still behind the two leading parties. Almost a third, (29%) responded they do not know who is running the best campaign.

"The NDP and Liberals are fighting for the lead in public perception, and right now it appears the public is split on who’s leading on that front. There’s still a few days of campaigning left to go, which is plenty of time for a shift, and this looks like another campaign that could well be decided on the final weekend," said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) 960-9603.