CC Image courtesy of Peter Miller: http://bit.ly/2s2ExwF
The Forum PollTM Offers Most Accurate Nova Scotia Election Forecast
Forum correctly called a thin Liberal Majority
TORONTO, June 2nd – The Forum Poll successfully
predicted the outcome of the Nova Scotia provincial election of May 9th,
2017. Forum’s Interactive Voice Response (IVR) polling methodology proves
itself again to be an effective tool for measuring public opinion, accurately
predicting a far narrower election than was suggested by other firms.
Forum’s seat forecast of 26 Liberal (actual 27),
18 Conservative (actual 17), and 7 NDP members (actual 7) represents a seat
deviation of only 0.4 seats, in a legislature of 51 seats.
Forum predicted (38%) for the Nova Scotia
Liberals whose actual share was (39.47%), (35%) for the Nova Scotia Progressive
Conservatives whose actual share was (35.73%), (23%) for the NDP whose actual
share was (21.51%), (4%) for the Green Party whose actual share was (2.77%),
and (0%) for other parties and independents whose actual share was (.52%).
Forum was the most accurate firm predicting
vote share, in addition to seat count, with an average deviation of (1.0%), the
lowest of the three firms polling the Nova Scotia election of 2017.
“Nova Scotia 2017 proves, once again, that The Forum Poll is a highly
sensitive instrument of predicting public opinion. Using our proprietary Forum
poll methodology, we were the most accurate firm predicting overall vote share
and were able to identify the razor thin Liberal majority with a deviation of
less than half of one seat,” said Forum
Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and
founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416)
960-9603.
