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More Than Four In
Ten Have Seen or Heard Something About PC Nomination Process
More than a third say their opinion of
Patrick Brown has become more negative because of it
Toronto, August 25th
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 981
Ontario voters, more than four in ten (TOP2: 43%) say they are at least
somewhat aware of news related to the PCs candidate nomination process. More
than half, however, (BTM2: 52%) say they are at not very aware or not at all
aware of the PC candidate nomination process.
Respondents most likely
to say they are aware of news related to the PC candidate nomination process
include those aged 35-44 (48%), 55-64 (48%), or 65+ (46%), males (46%), the
least wealthy (51%) or the most wealthy (51%), with a post-graduate degree
(49%), living in the 905 (48%) or North-eastern Ontario (46%), and supporting
the PCs (52%).
Respondents most
likely to say they are not aware of the news related to the PC candidate
nomination process include those aged 34 and younger (58%), females (55%),
earning $20,000-$40,000 (64%), with a college/university degree (57%), living
in Eastern Ontario (54%) or Southwestern Ontario (53%), and supporting the
Liberals (62%).
Those who know about it see Brown less
favourably
Considering only the opinions of those who
said they were at least somewhat aware of news related to the PC candidate
nomination process, more than a third (BTM2: 36%) said that their opinion of
Patrick Brown has become more negative in response.
Respondents most likely to say that their
opinion became more negative include those aged 34 and younger (41%) and 45-54
(41%), males (43%), earning $60,000-$80,000 (41%), with a post-graduate degree
(49%), living in North-eastern Ontario (42%), and supporting the NDP (51%).
Fewer than two in ten (18%) said that their
opinion of Patrick Brown has become more positive in response. Respondents most
likely to say their opinion became more positive include those aged 55-64 (23%)
or 65+ (26%), $20,000-$40,000 (27%) or $40,000-$60,000 (26%), with some
college/university (25%), living in Eastern Ontario (23%) or Southwestern
Ontario (20%), and supporting the PCs (27%).
The plurality (46%), however, said that it
hasn’t affected their opinion at all, saying its become neither more positive
nor more negative.
“A considerable portion of Ontarians have
heard about the Progressive Conservative nomination problems, and more than
one third say it’s negatively affecting their opinion of Patrick Brown,” said
Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “It’s not currently affecting
Brown provincially, but the longer this process, which is supposed to be
relatively simple, remains in the headlines, the more likely it becomes that
the issue will hurt his election prospects.”
Lorne Bozinoff,
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.