The Forum PollTM is the
Only Poll that Predicted PEI PC Win
Also correctly identified PC minority government
TORONTO, April 24th – The Forum
Poll successfully predicted the outcome of the PEI provincial election of April
23rd, 2019.
Forum’s Interactive Voice Response (IVR)
polling methodology once again proves to be a precise tool for measuring public
opinion, as we are the only polling company to predict a Progressive
Conservative minority win with a Green opposition.
Forum’s deviation of 2.12 was ahead of Mainstreet
and MQO, whose deviations of 2.52 and 4.40, were the third and fourth most
accurate.
Forum’s seat prediction was very precise, suggesting
that the Progressive Conservatives would win a minority government with 13
seats, the Green party would serve as official opposition with 10, and the Liberals
would win 3.
Our prediction deviated from the actual
results by an average of only 1.2 seats
“Forum was the only firm to predict a Progressive Conservative win,
and we predicted the minority government, at that,” said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne
Bozinoff. “Collecting data within the margin is important, obviously…but if the
data didn’t, like ours, point to the PC minority, is that really an accurate
prediction?”
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and
founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416)
960-9603.