NDP Majority Government Likely

| Filed under: Manitoba

NDP Majority Government Likely

PC trails tightly behind

Toronto, October 2nd – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll among 910 Manitoba voters ahead of the October 3rd provincial election, almost half (44.7%) of those who are decided or leaning are likely to vote for the New Democratic Party while the majority of others (41.7%) are likely to vote for the Progressive Conservative Party. We have a small group supporting the Liberal Party (12.3%), little support for the Green Party (0.9%), and other parties (0.8%).


NDP’s strong grip on majority

We project 35 seats for the NDP, 20 seats for PC, and 2 for Liberal. Either party must win at least 29 seats to form a majority government.

“This has turned out to be a “change” election.  We are likely to see the end of the PC era.  It is very difficult to win three consecutive terms in Canadian politics.” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.

The poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 910 randomly selected Manitoba residents over the age of 18, 59.2% by cellphone and 40.8% on landlines. The poll was conducted on October 2nd, 2023. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 3.3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample and regional results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample and regional results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.

This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather captures opinion at one point in time. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms. Forum Research follows the CRIC Public Opinion Research Standards and Disclosure Requirements that can be found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/