NDP Majority Government Likely
PC trails tightly behind
October 2nd – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The
Forum Poll™ among 910 Manitoba voters
ahead of the October 3rd provincial election, almost half (44.7%) of
those who are decided or leaning are likely to vote for the New Democratic
Party while the majority of others (41.7%) are likely to vote for the Progressive
Conservative Party. We have a small group supporting the Liberal Party (12.3%),
little support for the Green Party (0.9%), and other parties (0.8%).
NDP’s strong grip on majority
project 35 seats for the NDP, 20 seats for PC, and 2 for Liberal. Either party
must win at least 29 seats to form a majority government.
has turned out to be a “change” election.
We are likely to see the end of the PC era. It is very difficult to win three consecutive
terms in Canadian politics.” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum
The poll was
conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice
response telephone survey of 910 randomly selected Manitoba residents over the
age of 18, 59.2% by cellphone and 40.8% on landlines. The poll was conducted on
October 2nd, 2023. Results based on the total sample are considered
accurate +/- 3.3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample and regional results will be
less accurate. Margins of error for subsample and regional results are
available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.
This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather captures opinion at one point in time. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms. Forum Research follows the CRIC Public Opinion Research Standards and Disclosure Requirements that can be found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/