Lead is now just 2 points
TORONTO OCTOBER
6th, 2014 - In
a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1218 Toronto
voters, just fewer than 4-in-10 will vote for John Tory for mayor (39%) or for
Doug Ford (37%) which means these two candidates are essentially tied at this
sample size. This stands in stark contrast to last week's findings (September
29 - Tory 43%, Ford 33%), when the candidates were 10 points apart. Olivia Chow
has improved her vote share from less than one fifth last week (20%) to
slightly more now (22%). Very few will vote for another candidate (2%).
Ford's approval up sharply, Tory, Chow
down
More
than 4-in-10 Toronto voters approve of Doug Ford (42%), and this is stable
since we last polled approval (September 22 - 45%). It must be pointed out that
this is a higher level of approval than any achieved by his brother Rob Ford in
the past 6 months (April, 2014 - 46%). John Tory's approval, on the other hand,
has declined from two thirds two weeks ago (September 22 - 64%) to about one
half now (53%). By the same token, Olivia Chow has seen her approval drop from
well more than half two weeks ago (56%) to just more than 4-in-10 now (42%).
"This is a shocking upset
indeed. Doug had a fairly good week last week, but his partisans clearly think
he had a great week. He has neatly filched 4 points off John Tory and added
them to his vote share," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne
Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum
Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416)
960-9603.
