Tory surges, Ford falters
OCTOBER 21st, 2014 - In a random
sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 852 likely Toronto
voters and those who have voted already, more than 4-in-10 of those decided and
leaning support John Tory for mayor (43%), in comparison to fewer than 3-in-10
who favour Doug Ford (29%) for a 14 point lead. This stands in contrast to last
week, when just 6 points separated the two (October 14 - Ford 33%, Tory 39%).
Olivia Chow's support has stayed relatively stable at about one quarter (23%
last week, 25% today), and just one thirtieth will vote for any other candidate
Tory's support is strong among
older voters (55 to 64 - 52%, 65+ - 53%), in North York (48%) and among past
provincial Liberal voters (51%). Ford's support is especially strong in
Scarborough (39%) and among past PC voters (51%). Chow's support is
characteristic of the youngest (33%), women (30%), in the downtown (41%) and
past New Democrats (54%).
"This last week has proved decisive
for John Tory. He appears to be locking up the few undecided voters left, and
scooping some of Doug's voters as well. The two have neatly swapped 4 points
since last week, Tory taking them from Ford," said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org or at (416) 960-9603.