Gap between Mayor John Tory and Doug Ford Narrows

| Filed under: Toronto

Gap between Mayor John Tory and Doug Ford Narrows

Would still win re-election, but the race is tightening

Toronto, February 10th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll among 1,090 Toronto voters, the gap between Mayor John Tory and Doug Ford, his perceived main rival, has narrowed considerably since November (29%: Nov 8 – 19%: Feb 6), but Tory remains the primary choice amongst decided and leaning voters (49%) over Doug Ford (30%), with (21%) saying someone else would be their choice for mayor.

Those most likely to cast a ballot for John Tory include those over the age of 65 (58%), the wealthiest (66%), and those with a post-graduate university degree (55%).

Those who have voted (provincially) Liberal (65%), NDP (42%), or Green (60%) in the past also overwhelmingly support the mayor.

Those most likely to support Doug Ford include the least wealthy (42%), those with a secondary school education or less (42%), (though both fall within the margin of error), and those who identified themselves as past (provincial) Progressive Conservative voters (54%).

More than two years into his first mandate, while Mayor Tory’s approval has dropped below half, he still has the approval (46%) of the public. Almost a third (29%) disapprove of the job he is doing as mayor, with (25%) saying that they don’t know.

“Despite dropping approval numbers, John Tory remains popular amongst Toronto voters at present and would see himself re-elected if an election were held today. However, with the next election more than one and a half years away, there’s still plenty of time for a rival’s profile to grow and make the 2018 race a contest,” said Forum Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) 960-9603.