Tory Still Leads Over Ford

| Filed under: Toronto

Tory Still Leads Over Ford

The Mayor’s approval is on the upswing, too

Toronto, March 16th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 966 Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, John Tory (48%) still leads over Doug Ford (32%), though Ford has yet to officially declare his candidacy. (19%) prefer someone else to either Ford or Tory.

The gap between Tory and Ford is still closing, however, and now stands at (16%). (29%: Nov 8; 19%: Feb 6).

Those most likely to support Tory include those aged 65 and over (64%), females (53%), earning $80,000-$100,000 (65%), with a post-graduate degree (55%) or some college or university (52%), supporting the Liberal Party (67%).

Those most likely to support Ford include those earning $20,000-$40,000 (48%), the least educated (53%), and supporting the Progressive Conservative party (51%).

When looking at smaller subsamples divided by former city of Toronto municipalities we see the following community breakdowns*:


Tory’s approval going upward

Tory’s approval has risen back above half, with (51%) reporting they approve of the Toronto Mayor, up five-percent (46%: Feb 10). One-third (30%) report they do not approve of the job Tory is doing as mayor, with (19%) saying they don’t know. Don’t know is down six-percent since February, (25%: Feb 10) suggesting the opinions of Tory are solidifying. 

Those most likely to approve of Tory include those aged 65 and over (62%), those earning $80,000-$100,000 (67%), with some college or university (54%) or a post-graduate degree (55%), taking transit to work/school (55%).

Those most likely to disapprove of Tory include those aged 35-44 (39%), earning $20,000-$40,000 (39%), and the least educated (37%).


“John Tory’s approval rating is enviable right now, just above fifty-percent. Tory has no declared challengers right now though, so he doesn’t have a lock on re-election just yet. Once the electorate gets a look at his competition, we’ll have a better sense of how the candidates will compare to each other,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at or at (416) 960-9603.


*smaller samples will be less accurate, numbers may not add up to 100 because of rounding