CC image courtesy of Province of BC: http://bit.ly/2qlVjpr
Leads Going Into the
Final Week, but the Gap is Narrowing
Weaver most popular leader by far
Toronto, May 1st
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1067
British Columbia voters, amongst those and decided and leaning, the NDP (37%)
has an eight point lead over the governing Liberals (29%). The Green Party has
the support of a quarter (24%) of respondents, with (7%) saying they are
supporting the Conservatives, and (3%) saying they support another party.
If the election were
held today, the NDP would secure 47 seats, the Liberals 34 seats, the Green
Party 4, with 2 going to other parties.
likely to support the NDP include those 34 or younger (40%), 45-54 (38%), or
55-64 (38%), females (40%), earning $40,000-$60,000 (44%), $60,000-$80,000 (44%),
or $80,000-$100,000, (43%) with a post-graduate degree (43%), and living on
Vancouver Island (39%) or Vancouver/Lower Mainland (36%).
likely to support the Liberals include those aged 65 and over (41%), males
(32%), and the most wealthy (35%).
likely to say they support the Green Party include those 34 and younger (30%)
or 35-44 (31%), the least wealthy (30%) or earning $20,000-$40,000 (28%), and
living on Vancouver Island (28%) and Interior North (25%).
Weaver most popular leader, Clark ticks up, Horgan ticks down
Just over a quarter
(28%) approve of the job Christy Clark is doing as premier, 6-in-10 (62%), and
(11%) don’t know. Premier Clark’s net favourable score (approve – disapprove)
is -34, slightly better than the beginning of April (April 5: -36)
Just under a third (31%)
approve of John Horgan’s job as the leader of the opposition, a similar
proportion (34%) disapprove, and (35%) don’t know. Horgan’s net favourable
score is -3, down five points since early April (April 5: +2).
4-in-10 (42%) approve
of Andrew Weaver’s job as the leader of the Green Party. (17%) disapprove, and
(40%) don’t know. Weaver’s net favourable score is +25, an increase of 11
points since early April (April 5th: +14).
Best Premier tied between Horgan and Clark
A quarter (25%) of
respondents say, regardless of their party affiliation, that John Horgan would
make the best Premier of BC, which is a statistical tie with Christy Clark (24%). Andrew
Weaver (21%) is third, just behind the pair. (16%) say they don’t know, with
(15%) saying none of the above would make the best premier.
to see a considerable increase in support for the Green Party, and the favourability
of their popular leader Andrew Weaver is well ahead of either of his main
opponents. What remains to be seen, however, is how this surge in Green Party
support will affect the final count on election day," said Dr. Lorne
Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
email@example.com or at (416) 960-9603.