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Liberals Have a Strong Lead
But Leaders’ numbers show little distance between McNeil,
Baillie, and Burrill
Toronto, May 8th – In
a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1042 Nova Scotia
voters, for those decided and leaning, more than 4-in-10 (41%) support the Nova
Scotia Liberals. A third (32%) say they support the Progressive Conservatives,
and a quarter (25%) say they support the NDP. (2%) respond that they support
likely to say that they support the Liberals include those aged 65+ (53%),
males (43%), earning $40,000-$60,000 (50%), with some college/university (51%),
and living on the South Shore (45%) or North End (44%).
likely to say they support the Progressive Conservatives include those aged
45-54 (41%), earning $20,000-$40,000 (35%), $80,000-$100,000 (34%), and the
most wealthy (37%), the least educated (36%), and living in Cape Breton (36%)
or the South Shore (34%).
likely to say they support the NDP include those aged 34 and younger (44%),
females (29%), earning $60,000-$80,000 (32%) or $80,000-$100,000 (32%), with a
post-graduate degree (38%), and living in Halifax (32%).
McNeil edges Baillie as best premier, but they are virtually
More than a quarter
(27%) believe Stephen McNeil would make the best premier, barely ahead of Jamie
Baillie (25%). Fewer than 2-in-10 see Gary Burrill (17%) as best premier, with
almost a third (31%) reporting they don’t know who would make the best premier.
Burrill slightly ahead of McNeil on trustworthiness, but they
are virtually tied
A quarter see Gary
Burrill (24%) as the most trustworthy provincial leader, but only slightly
ahead of Stephen McNeil (22%) as the pair are statistically tied. 2-in-10 see Jaime
Baillie (20%) as most trustworthy. More than a third (35%) say they do not
"The Liberals have strong numbers, which
could account for their decision to call an election. Stephen McNeil, however,
is tied with his opponents both on trust and for who would make the best
premier, so the Liberals can’t celebrate just yet,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff,
President of Forum Research.
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
email@example.com or at (416) 960-9603.