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Head to Head: Tory
Almost Doubles Ford
Toronto, June 27th
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1040
Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, in a head’s up race between
only John Tory and Doug Ford, Tory almost doubles his as-yet undeclared
competitor with support of two-thirds (66%) of voters, while Doug Ford secures
only a third (34%).
likely to support Tory include those aged 35-44 (71%) or 65+ (70%), earning
$80,000-$100,000 (75%), with a post-graduate degree (77%), living in the former
city of Toronto (79%) or East York (80%), and supporting the provincial Liberal
Respondents most likely
to support Doug Ford include those aged 34 and younger (36%), 45-54 (37%), 55-64
(38%), earning $40,000-$60,000 (48%), the least educated (45%) and those with
some college/university (46%), living in Etobicoke (42%) or York (44%), and
supporting the provincial PCs (45%)
Add Mike Layton to the ballot, Tory still wins
In a three-way race
between Tory, Ford, and councillor Mike Layton, little-changes. John Tory would
still command a majority of votes (51%), while Ford dips below a third (30%).
In this three-candidate scenario Mike Layton would secure fewer than two-fifths
of the vote (18%).
likely to support Tory over Ford and Layton include those aged 65+ (61%),
females (58%), earning $80,000-$100,000 (61%), with a post-graduate degree
(58%), living in East York (60%), and supporting the provincial Liberals (60%).
likely to support Ford over Layton and Tory include those aged 45-54 (33%) or
55-64 (35%), the least wealthy (41%) or earning $40,000-$60,000 (41%), with
some college/university (44%), living in Etobicoke, and supporting the
provincial PCs (44%).
likely to support Layton over Tory and Ford include those aged 34 and younger
(23%) or 45-54 (20%), earning $20,000-$40,000 (26%), living in the Former City
of Toronto (28%), with a college/university degree 20%) or post-graduate degree
(21%), and supporting the provincial NDP (38%) or Green Party (40%).
Tory Approval Up
The majority (54%) of
voters once again approve of John Tory’s performance as mayor, overall. Just
over a quarter (27%) disapprove, while 2 in 10 say they don’t know. John Tory’s
net favourable score (approve – disapprove) is a strong +27.
Tory’s approval is up
4 points (50%: May 28) and his disapproval has likewise dropped 4 points (31%:
“When factoring out
all other potential challengers and pitting Doug Ford head to head against John
Tory, it isn’t a contest, with the Mayor almost doubling up the support of his
presumed main rival,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.
“Even adding another candidate doesn’t shake Tory’s support, and he still wins
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
firstname.lastname@example.org or at (416) 960-9603.