Just Over Half Say They Were Aware of PC Convention

Just Over Half Say They Were Aware of PC Convention

The plurality unmoved by the "People's guarantee"

Toronto, December 7^th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 861 Ontario voters, more than half (TOP2: 54%) say they are at least somewhat aware of the Ontario Progressive Conservative policy convention, with one-sixth (17%) saying they are very aware of the Ontario, while just over a third (37%) say they are somewhat aware.

4 in 10 (BTM2: 42%) had little to no awareness of the convention, with a quarter (26%) saying they are not very aware, while another one-sixth (16%) say they are not at all aware.

Few (4%) said they did not know.

Plurality say the "people's guarantee" won't change their vote

More than 4 in 10 (44%) say they are neither more likely, nor less likely to vote for Patrick Brown in response to his promise that he will not seek a second term as premier if he fails to meet his five major campaign commitments.

Just under 2 in 10 (TOP2: 19%) say they are at least somewhat more likely to vote for Patrick Brown's Progressive Conservatives, while a quarter (BTM2: 26%) say they are at least somewhat less likely to vote Progress Conservative in response to the people's guarantee.

Respondents most likely to have their leaning unchanged include those aged 35-44 (51%), the highest earners making $60-$80,000 (47%), $80-$100,000 (48%), or the most wealthy (50%), with a post graduate degree (54%), living in Toronto (51%), and supporting the NDP.

Respondents most likely to say that they would be more likely to vote for Patrick Brown's PCs include those aged 45-54 (23%) or 65+ (21%), the least wealthy (28%) or earning $80-$100,000 (27%), with a college/university degree (24%),  living in the 905 (21%) or Southwestern Ontario (24%), and supporting the PCs (34%).

Only one in ten Liberal (11%) or NDP (9%) voter said this policy would make them more likely to vote for Patrick Brown.

Respondents most likely to say that they would be less likely to vote for Patrick Brown's PCs include those aged 55-64 (32%) or 65+ (29%), those earning $20-$40,000 (27%) or $40-$60,000 (29%), the least educated (30%) or with some college/university (29%), living in Eastern Ontario (30%), or the 905 (32%), and supporting the Ontario Liberals (38%). 

2 in 10 (21%) self-identified PC voters said that this policy would make them less likely to vote for Patrick Brown.

 

“Just over half said they were aware of the Ontario Progressive Conservatives’ policy convention,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “And Brown's signature commitment, what he calls the "people's guarantee", did not change a lot of minds about his party."

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.