Federal
Liberals with healthy lead
Convincing majority seen
TORONTO February
11th, 2015 - In
a random sampling of public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among 1018
Canadian voters, almost 4-in-10 will vote Liberal if the election were held
today (39%) compared to just less than a third who will vote Conservative
(32%). Fewer than a fifth will vote for the New Democrats (17%). These findings
represent a contrast to last month, when the two leading parties were tied
(Liberals - 34%, Conservatives - 35%) and the New Democrats had a full fifth of
the vote (January 28 - 20%).
Liberal majority seen
If
these results are projected up to seats in the new 338 seat Parliament, the
Liberals would capture a convincing 24 seat majority of 194 seats, compared to
just 112 for the Conservatives and just 30 for the NDP. The Greens and the Bloc
Quebecois would each take one seat.
"It is clear Mr. Harper has
had a very bad week, starting with the loss of John Baird, a genuinely popular
minister in a government not blessed with many popular ministers. In addition,
while Eve Adams’ defection, which happened in the middle of our field period,
can be seen as much a boon to the Conservatives as the Liberals, she is yet
another partisan leaving the government with an election imminent," said Forum
Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne
Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be
reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416)
960-9603.
