Eve Adams bested by Joe Oliver in Eglinton-Lawrence
But Oliver loses to Mike Colle
TORONTO February
13th, 2015 - In
a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 659 voters
in the federal riding of Eglinton-Lawrence, one half will vote for the
incumbent, Conservative MP Joe Oliver (49%) over new Liberal recruit Eve Adams
(28%) if a federal election were held in the riding today. The NDP candidate
would take about a tenth of the vote (13%) and the Green candidate about half
as many (7%). Few would vote other parties (3%). Previous candidates’ names
were used for the NDP and Green candidates.
Oliver defeated by Mike Colle
When the Liberal candidate mentioned is provincial MPP Mike
Colle, however, close to half choose him (46%) over about 4-in-10 for the
incumbent Oliver (41%). Many of the additional Liberal votes come from the
ranks of the Green Party (2%).
Colle, Oliver have high favourables, not so much Adams
One half of voters in the riding approve of Joe Oliver (49%)
and his net favourable (approve minus disapprove) is a positive +17. More than
half approve of Mike Colle (52%), and his net is a very favourable +31. Eve
Adams on the other hand, has the approval of fewer than a fifth (14%), and her
net is a very negative -39.
"The Liberals may have their
own reasons for running Eve Adams against a sitting cabinet minister who may or
may not be vulnerable, but it is clear that Mike Colle has the riding’s
approval already, and has a good shot at the seat, which Adams does not appear
to have," said Forum
Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and
founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416)
960-9603.
