Forum Poll accurately predicts riding-by-riding election outcomes
Correct candidate picked in more than
70% of ridings, overall deviation of 6%
TORONTO, OCTOBER 28th, 2015 – During the recently completed 42nd general election, the Forum Poll™
tested public opinion in 21 key ridings in the GTA, Ontario and Alberta. In
Forum’s final polls in those ridings, 15 of 21 identified the winning
candidate, for a correct prediction rate of 71%. In total, the deviation from
the final election results across all 21 ridings was 6%, and ranged from 1% to
10% for individual ridings.
“Our
accuracy in predicting results for specific candidates down to the riding level
is a strong indicator of how methodologically robust our Interactive Voice
Response (IVR) polling system is,” said Forum
Research president Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne
Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be
reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416)
960-9603.
