PCs Overtake
Liberals in Toronto
Could spell big trouble for Wynne
Toronto, March 14th
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 966
Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, the PCs (36%) have extended
a five-point lead over the governing Liberals (31%). The PC lead is up four
percent since February (1% lead over Liberals on Feb. 10). The NDP are
unchanged at (22%), as are the Green (7%), but the collective “other parties”
is up to (4%) (2%: Feb. 10).
Those most likely to
support the PCs include those aged 45-54 (44%), 55-64 (41%), males (40%), the
most wealthy (39%), with some college or university (43%), and who drive to
work/school (45%). The majority of those supporting Doug Ford for Toronto Mayor
also support the PCs (58%).
Those most likely to
support the Liberals include those 65+ (43%), earning $80,000-$100,000
(40%), taking public transit to work/school (36%), and those supporting John
Tory for Mayor (44%).
Looking at each
party’s support divided amongst the former city of Toronto municipalities we
see the following community breakdowns*
“The Progressive Conservatives
finally see daylight between themselves and the Liberals in Toronto, as they’re
leading in three of the six communities, and tied in another. In the two
communities where the Liberals lead, the NDP is in the mix, which could lead to
trouble for the Liberals if they suffer vote splitting that dilutes their
support and potentially costs them seats,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff,
President of Forum Research.
Lorne Bozinoff,
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.
*smaller samples will be less accurate, numbers may not add up to 100
because of rounding
