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Fresh gains for Bailao, Saunders and
Furey
Chow still in first place with 35
percent support
Toronto,
June 11th, 2023 – In a random sampling of public opinion taken
by The Forum Poll™ among 1047 Toronto residents,
Olivia Chow holds the lead with 35% support from decided and leaning voters
with just over two weeks to go before the June 26th mayoral
election. Chow’s support slipped three percent over the last week, with Mark
Saunders (14%) up by 1% while Anthony Furey (11%, +1%) and Ana Bailao (10%,
+2%) have overtaken Josh Matlow (9%, -3%) who now sits in fifth place. Among
all poll respondents, 15% remain undecided.
2023
Mayoral polling results to date - The Forum Poll™ (Decided/Leaning
Voters)
|
%
|
Apr 25-26
|
May 6-7
|
May 13
|
May 19
|
May 26
|
June 2
|
June 9
|
+/- in last week
|
|
Olivia Chow
|
31
|
33
|
36
|
34
|
34
|
38
|
35
|
-3
|
|
Mark Saunders
|
14
|
14
|
18
|
12
|
14
|
13
|
14
|
+1
|
|
Anthony Furey
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
+1
|
|
Ana Bailao
|
10
|
7
|
7
|
9
|
9
|
8
|
10
|
+2
|
|
Josh Matlow
|
15
|
14
|
10
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
9
|
-3
|
|
Mitzie Hunter
|
7
|
8
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
7
|
7
|
0
|
|
Brad Bradford
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
0
|
|
Some other candidate
|
15
|
17
|
14
|
16
|
8
|
8
|
10
|
+2
|
“Furey
and Bailao may be changing the dynamic,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of
Forum Research. “In the last two weeks, we might see a surprise upset.”
Among
those surveyed, the most important issues in the mayoral election are housing
affordability (27%) and the cost of living & inflation (21%), consistent
with the previous week.
The poll was
conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice
response telephone survey of 1047 randomly selected Toronto residents over the
age of 18, 76% by cellphone and 24% on landlines. The poll was conducted on June
9th, 2023. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate
+/- 3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample and regional results will be less
accurate. Margins of error for subsample results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp. This research is
not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather captures opinion at
one point in time.
With offices across Canada and around the
world, 100% Canadian owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading
survey research firms.
Forum Research follows the CRIC Public Opinion
Research Standards and Disclosure Requirements that can be found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/
