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Chow top choice in last ten days of
campaign
Gains for Saunders, Furey,
and Bailao
Toronto, June 18th, 2023 –
In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1006 Toronto residents, Olivia
Chow remained the top choice with 32% support ten days before the June 26th
mayoral election. While Chow’s support dropped 3 percent compared to the
previous week, the next most popular candidates Mark Saunders (15%, +1%),
Anthony Furey (13%, +2%) and Ana Bailao (13%, +3%) have seen slight gains.
Among all poll respondents, 12% remain undecided.
2023
Mayoral polling results to date - The Forum Poll™ (Decided/Leaning
Voters)
|
%
|
Apr 25-26
|
May 6-7
|
May 13
|
May 19
|
May 26
|
June 2
|
June 9
|
June 16
|
+/- in last week
|
|
Olivia Chow
|
31
|
33
|
36
|
34
|
34
|
38
|
35
|
32
|
-3
|
|
Mark Saunders
|
14
|
14
|
18
|
12
|
14
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
+1
|
|
Anthony Furey
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
-
|
9
|
10
|
11
|
13
|
+2
|
|
Ana Bailao
|
10
|
7
|
7
|
9
|
9
|
8
|
10
|
13
|
+3
|
|
Josh Matlow
|
15
|
14
|
10
|
12
|
12
|
12
|
9
|
9
|
0
|
|
Mitzie Hunter
|
7
|
8
|
10
|
10
|
9
|
7
|
7
|
6
|
-1
|
|
Brad Bradford
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
-1
|
|
Some other candidate
|
15
|
17
|
14
|
16
|
8
|
8
|
10
|
10
|
0
|
“Chow’s lead has held steady
throughout the campaign,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.
“It appears other candidates are failing to resonate with voters.”
Among those surveyed, the most
important issues in the mayoral election are housing affordability (24%) and
the cost of living & inflation (22%), consistent with the previous week.
The
poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive
voice response telephone survey of 1006 randomly selected Toronto residents
over the age of 18, 77% by cellphone and 23% on landlines. The poll was
conducted on June 16h, 2023. Results based on the total sample are
considered accurate +/- 3%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample and regional results
will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.
This
research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather captures
opinion at one point in time.
With
offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian owned Forum Research
is one of the country’s leading survey research firms.
Forum
Research follows the CRIC Public Opinion Research Standards and Disclosure
Requirements that can be found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/