More Now Disapprove of Trudeau Than Approve

More Now Disapprove of Trudeau Than Approve

Liberals and Conservatives tied, but Liberals still edge out a minority

Toronto, April 26^th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ amongst 1479 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and leaning, the Liberals (35%) and the Conservatives (35%) are tied. The NDP is third (17%), with the Green Party (7%) and the BQ (5%) following behind. (1%) say they support another party.

Liberal support is down one point since March (36%: March 24^th), Conservative support is down three points (38%: March 24^th), NDP support is up two points (15%: March 24^th), Green Party support has almost doubled (4%: March 24^th), and BQ support is down one point (5%).

Liberal minority if election held today

If an election were held today, the Conservatives would win 137 seats, the Liberals 152, the NDP 36, the BQ 12, and 1 for the Green.

The drop in Conservative support since March is matched by a commensurate drop in potential seats, which sees their total reduced by 33, with the BQ down 1. The Liberals see an increase of 22, the NDP an increase of 10, with Green unchanged at 1.

Trudeau sees a negative net favourable score

Trudeau’s disapproval (47%) now exceeds his approval (42%), a net favourable score (approve minus disapprove) of -5, which a stark contrast from six months ago when his score was positively in double digits. (10%) say they don’t know whether they approve or disapprove.

Rona Ambrose sees an approval of (32%) and a disapproval (23%), showing a net favourable score of +9. Almost half of respondents say they do not (45%) whether to approve or disapprove.

Tom Mulcair sees an approval of (32%) but his disapproval is higher than that of Ambrose (29%), but his net favourable is still positive at +3. Almost 4-in-10 (39%) say they do not know whether to approve or disapprove.

Despite his negative favourable, Trudeau still seen as best PM

Almost a third see Justin Trudeau (32%) as the best PM. Only (12%) see Rona Ambrose, and (10%) see Tom Mulcair as the best candidate for PM.

None of these is the top second choice (22%), followed by do not know (15%).

 “Justin Trudeau’s level of approval should be of concern to Liberals across the country, as the once irrepressibly popular Prime Minister now sees his disapproval exceed his approval. Perhaps it’s the aftermath of an unpopular budget, or just a general lack of interest that comes with the middle of a mandate, but, whatever the cause, Trudeau doesn’t seem to be connecting with Canadians right now,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.