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Conservatives More Positively Post-Leadership
Toronto, June 12th
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ amongst
1483 Canadian voters, more than a quarter (27%) say that the Conservative
leadership race had a positive effect on their opinion of the Conservative
party, with 2 in 10 (20%) saying it had a negative effect on their view of the
party. The plurality (45%), however, said the leadership race had no effect on
their opinion. Fewer than 1 in 10 (8%) said they do not know.
likely to say the race had a positive effect on their opinion include those
aged 65+ (40%) and males (33%). (13%) of Liberals and (13%) of New Democrats
said their opinion of the Conservatives became more positive, compared to (61%)
of Conservatives who said their opinions improved.
likely to say the race had a negative effect on their opinion include those
aged 34 or younger (29%), the wealthiest (29%), living in Manitoba/Saskatchewan
(24%), Alberta (25%), or BC (24%), with a post-graduate degree (26%).
Andrew Scheer’s election not driving
voters to the Tories
election of Andrew Scheer as the leader of the Conservative Party has had
little-effect on their electoral fortunes thus far, for good or ill. One
quarter (24%) say they are more likely to vote Conservative, one-quarter (24%)
say they are less likely to vote Conservative, and the plurality’s opinion
doesn’t change (42%). Just over 1 in 10 (11%) say they do not know whether
Andrew Scheer will affect their vote.
most likely to say they are more likely to vote Conservative because of Scheer
include those aged 65+ (34%), males (28%), earning $80,000-$100,000 (27%) or
the most wealthy (25%), living in Alberta (33%), and with some
college/university (29%), with almost 6 in 10 (59%) of those identifying
themselves as Conservatives saying they are now more likely to vote
most likely to say they are less likely to vote Conservative because of Scheer
include those aged 34 or younger (28%), living in Ontario (27%) or BC (29%),
and a post-graduate degree (30%).
election thus far has had little effect on his opinion amongst the public at
large, with a generally muted response overall. However, his leadership is
strongly resonating with Conservative partisans, who are clearly energized by it,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff,
President of Forum Research.
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
email@example.com or at (416) 960-9603.