On Day 1, Conservatives Have Slight Lead
On Liberals
Toronto, September 11th, – In a random sampling
of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1001 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and
leaning, a third (36.3%) say they would support the Conservatives, while a
similar proportion (32.4%) say they would support the Liberals.
1 in 10 (11.6%) say they would support the
Greens, while a similar proportion (8.6%) say they would support the NDP.
About 1 in 20 (4.1%) say they would support the
BQ, while a similar proportion would support the PPC (4.9%). Few (2.1%) are
supporting another party.
If these results were projected into seats, we
expect a Conservative Minority with 168 seats to 138 Liberal.
The NDP would win 16, the BQ would win 11, and
the Green would win 5. The PPC and other parties project to win none.
Environment
and Economy continue to lead as top issues
|
%
|
Feb 27 - 28, 2019
|
April 3 - 6, 2019
|
June 28 - 30, 2019
|
July 26- 28, 2019
|
September 11,
2019
|
|
Sample
|
1301
|
1634
|
1812
|
1733
|
1001
|
|
Environment
|
15
|
21
|
26
|
26
|
22.8
|
|
Economy
|
26
|
28
|
25
|
25
|
22.8
|
|
Healthcare
|
17
|
13
|
16
|
14
|
15
|
|
Taxes
|
12
|
12
|
8
|
8
|
10.5
|
|
Education
|
8
|
7
|
6
|
7
|
8.4
|
|
Immigration
|
10
|
5
|
8
|
8
|
7.7
|
|
Housing
|
4
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
3.9
|
|
Public Safety
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
3.2
|
|
Something else
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
5
|
5.7
|
Economy,
Healthcare, and Taxes biggest second issues
The economy (16.6%),
Healthcare (15.7%), and Taxes (14.4%).
The environment
(11.6%) and no second issue (12.1%) follow behind.
Education (9.8%) and
immigration (7.3%) are next.
Housing (5.5%),
public safety (4.1%), and something else (2.8%) bring up the rear.
“On
Day 1 we see the Conservatives resume their lead, but it's only slight,” said
Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “The environment and the
economy continue to lead as issues foremost to Canadians right now. How the
campaign shifts to match these issues, and how the parties address them, will
be fascinating to watch."
