The Forum PollTM Accurately Forecasts Liberal Minority
A good night for the polling industry overall
TORONTO, October 21st, 2019 – The 43rd Federal
election concluded just as Forum predicted: with a Liberal minority parliament.
It was another excellent night for the
Canadian polling industry, with all eleven firms predicting the election within
their margin of error (if applicable.)
Forum's seat projection was amongst the most
accurate by polling firms, deviating from the actual results by an average of just
over 8 seats.
The Canadian polling industry is amongst the
best in the world, and it was proved again last night.
“A Liberal minority,” said Forum Research
president Dr. Lorne Bozinoff. “Our data was leaning toward a Liberal minority
throughout the last days of the campaign, and despite a late surge in personal
popularity for Jagmeet Singh, it never wavered. Now it's up to parliament to
make the minority work, and for pollsters to enjoy a very successful
result."
