Photo by Berkay Gumustekin on Unsplash
Toronto,
Sept 11th, 2021 – In the first poll conducted following the federal election
English debate by Forum Research among GTA voters, 39% of decided / leaning
voters would vote Liberal, followed by Conservatives
(33%), NDP (15%), People’s Party of Canada (10%), and Green 3%, if the election
were held today. This is in contrast to the results of the same poll at the
federal level, where Conservatives enjoy a slight edge at 31% compared to
Liberals at 28%.
Since
the last poll conducted by Forum Research on Aug 15th, the most
notable difference is that the support for the People’s Party of Canada increased
significantly from 6% to 10%.
Liberals
enjoy much stronger support in the 416 at 42%, followed by Conservatives (34%),
NDP (12%), People’s Party of Canada (7%), and Green (4%).
Liberals
(36%) have a slight edge over Conservatives (33%) in the 905, followed by NDP
(17%), People’s Party of Canada (12%), and Green (2%).
Respondents
most likely to say they will support the Liberals include aged 65+ (50%), and female
(45%).
Respondents
most likely to say they will support the Conservatives include those aged 45-54
(40%), male (39%).
Respondents
most likely to say they will support the NDP include those younger than 25
years old (42%) and female (16%).
These
results will change as voting intentions change and are subject to the usual
margins of error.
The
poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive
voice response telephone survey of 493 randomly selected eligible voters in the
Greater Toronto Area. The poll was conducted on Sept 10th, 2021. Results based
on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 4%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample
and regional results will be less accurate.
Margins of error for subsample and regional results are available at
www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.
This
research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather captures
opinion at one point in time. The poll was sponsored by Forum Research Inc. as
a public service. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian owned
Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms.
