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NDP holds narrow lead over Saskatchewan Party on eve
of SK election
NDP on track for majority with slim lead
Toronto, October 27th – In a random
sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 2,934 Saskatchewan voters ahead of the October 28th
provincial election, 49.0% of those who are decided or leaning are likely to
vote for the NDP while 46.0% are likely to vote for the Saskatchewan Party.
Voter support is low for the Green party (2.1%) and other parties (2.9%).
NDP poised for majority with Saskatchewan Party close behind
We project 33 seats for the NDP and 28 for the
Saskatchewan Party. Either party must win at least 31 seats to form a majority
government.
“A fifth term for the Saskatchewan Party under Scott
Moe appears uncertain, with Carla Beck’s NDP holding a close lead as election
day approaches,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “With 31
seats required to form a majority, current projections suggest the NDP is on
track to form the next majority government.”
The poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an
interactive voice response telephone survey of 2,934 randomly selected Saskatchewan
residents over the age of 18, 76.5% by cellphone and 23.5% on landlines. The
poll was conducted from October 25-27, 2024. Results based on the total sample
are considered accurate +/- 3.0%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample and regional
results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample and regional
results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.
This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but
rather captures opinion at one point in time. With offices across Canada and
around the world, 100% Canadian owned Forum Research is one of the country’s
leading survey research firms. Forum Research follows the CRIC Public Opinion
Research Standards and Disclosure Requirements that can be found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/
