and Liberals Neck and Neck in Federal Election
Research poll finds Tories with slight edge over Liberals
Toronto, Aug 15th, 2021 – The most recent nation-wide poll conducted by
Forum Research among eligible Canadian voters shows that if the election were
held today most decided / leaning voters would vote Conservative (31%),
followed by Liberal (28%), NDP (19%), Green (8%), Bloc Quebecois (7%), and
People’s Party of Canada (5%).
There are significant regional differences across the country in
political party support. In the
Atlantic, the gap in political support between Liberals and Conservatives is
the smallest, at 33% and 28% respectively.
In Quebec, Liberals have a lead at 29%, followed by Bloc Quebecois, the Conservatives,
Green Party, and NDP (27%, 16%, 13%, and 9%, respectively).
In the crucial battleground of Ontario, the Conservatives leads with 34%
of voting intentions, followed by 31% for the Liberals and 18% for the NDP. In
Manitoba / Saskatchewan the Conservatives enjoys a comfortable lead of 40%,
followed by the NDP (24%), Liberals (20%), and Green (5%). The Conservative
party also has a stronghold in Alberta (46%), followed by the NDP (24%),
Liberals (17%), and Green (5%). In British Colombia, Conservatives enjoy a lead
of 33%, followed by NDP with 27%, Liberals with 25%, and Green Party at 9%.
These voting intention results, if held on election day, would likely
yield approximately 140 Tory seats, 126 Liberal seats, 42 NDP seats, and 26 Bloc
Quebecois seats, within a range of approximately plus or minus 10 seats for
each party. These results will change as
voting intentions change and are subject to the usual margins of error.