Few will support Eve Adams
TORONTO AUGUST 24th, 2014 – In a random sampling of
public opinion taken by the Forum Poll™ among a sample of 696 Mississauga
voters, almost exactly equal proportions, just more than a quarter, will vote
either for Steve Mahoney (27%) or Bonnie Crombie (26%) for mayor in the
municipal election scheduled for October 27. This situation has persisted
during the past two waves of polling (July - 31% and 29% respectively, April -
27% and 25%, respectively). About one half are undecided (47%). A preference
for Steve Mahoney is common to the oldest (38%), males (32%), Europeans from
other than the British Isles (33%) and past provincial PC voters
(37%), Crombie's support is characteristic of Boomers (55 to 64 -
31%), mid income groups ($40K to $60K - 40%), the best educated (post grad
- 36%), South Asians (41%), and provincial Liberal voters (33%).
Few will support Eve Adams
When
the name of Conservative MP Eve Adams is added to the mix, the results do not
change much. Crombie and Mahoney share just less than a quarter of the vote
each (24% and 24%), while Adams secures just a tenth (9%). She appeals to the
youngest (16%) and mid-income groups ($40K to $60K - 24%). Most of her support
comes from those who will vote for Bonnie Crombie in a two person race (14%).
She is popular in the northeast part of the city, north of Eglinton and East of
Hurontario (23%).
Mahoney and Crombie share high
awareness, approval; Eve Adams not so much
One
half are aware of Steve Mahoney (52%), and one half are aware of Bonnie Crombie
(54%). They both have very high approval levels (72% and 71%, respectively).
Eve Adams is known to somewhat fewer (46%), and has the approval of just more
than a third (37%). Hazel McCallion's approval remains very high (83%).
Candidates matched on attributes
The
minority see both Bonnie Crombie and Steve Mahoney as having the best vision
for Mississauga's development (19% and 20% respectively), for the city centre
(17% and 16%, respectively) and for Mississauga's waterfront (17% and 14%,
respectively).
Low taxes, Hazel's legacy important to
voters
One
third, the plurality, say that keeping taxes low is the most important issue in
the election (33%), followed by those who cite carrying on Hazel McCallion's
legacy (22%), building transit (14%) or caring for the most vulnerable (10%).
Less important issues include protecting city services and keeping developers
in check (6% each) and eliminating waste (4%).
"This race appears to be stuck in a Mexican stand-off. Half
the electorate is undecided and the other half remains stubbornly split between
the two leading candidates. Even the entrance of a glamourous contender like
Eve Adams doesn't break the deadlock," said Forum Research President,
Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff,
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416)
960-9603.
