Tory Still Leads Over
Ford
The Mayor’s approval is on the upswing, too
Toronto, March 16th
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 966
Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, John Tory (48%) still leads
over Doug Ford (32%), though Ford has yet to officially declare his candidacy. (19%)
prefer someone else to either Ford or Tory.
The gap between Tory
and Ford is still closing, however, and now stands at (16%). (29%: Nov 8; 19%:
Feb 6).
Those most likely to
support Tory include those aged 65 and over (64%), females (53%), earning
$80,000-$100,000 (65%), with a post-graduate degree (55%) or some college or
university (52%), supporting the Liberal Party (67%).
Those most likely to
support Ford include those earning $20,000-$40,000 (48%), the least educated
(53%), and supporting the Progressive Conservative party (51%).
When looking at smaller
subsamples divided by former city of Toronto municipalities we see the
following community breakdowns*:
Tory’s approval going upward
Tory’s approval has
risen back above half, with (51%) reporting they approve of the Toronto Mayor,
up five-percent (46%: Feb 10). One-third (30%) report they do not approve of
the job Tory is doing as mayor, with (19%) saying they don’t know. Don’t know
is down six-percent since February, (25%: Feb 10) suggesting the opinions of
Tory are solidifying.
Those most likely to
approve of Tory include those aged 65 and over (62%), those earning $80,000-$100,000
(67%), with some college or university (54%) or a post-graduate degree (55%),
taking transit to work/school (55%).
Those most likely to
disapprove of Tory include those aged 35-44 (39%), earning $20,000-$40,000
(39%), and the least educated (37%).
“John Tory’s approval
rating is enviable right now, just above fifty-percent. Tory has no declared
challengers right now though, so he doesn’t have a lock on re-election just
yet. Once the electorate gets a look at his competition, we’ll have a better
sense of how the candidates will compare to each other,” said Dr. Lorne
Bozinoff, President of Forum Research
Lorne Bozinoff,
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.
*smaller samples will be less accurate, numbers may not add up to 100
because of rounding
