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Toronto, March 24th
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ amongst
1029 Canadian voters, the Conservatives have closed the gap, and are now just
ahead of the Liberals by two points.
Amongst decided and
leaning voters, Liberal support has decreased by three points, from 39% on February
26th to 36% now. Conservative are up three points, from 35% on
February 26th to 38% now. It is worth noting that September 2015 was
the last time we recorded a Conservative lead over the Liberals (September 29,
2015: 34%, and 27% respectively).
New Democrat and
Green support has remained steady at 15% and 4% respectively (February 26th:
NDP 15%, Green Party 4%), while the BQ see a one point decrease to 6% (February
In British Columbia
the Liberals (35%) are well ahead of the Conservatives (29%), who themselves
are statistically tied with the New Democrats (28%).
In the Atlantic
region, the Liberals (48%) have seen a decrease in support, losing eleven
points (February 26th: 59%). The Conservatives (32%) are up two
points (February 26th: 30%).
In Québec, both the
Liberals (40%) and Conservatives (20%) are slightly up since February (February
26th: 38%, and 17% respectively). The BQ (22%) is down five points (February
In Ontario, the
Liberals (38%) fall behind the Conservatives (45%) by seven points (February 26th:
42%, and 39% respectively). The NDP (12%) is down four points (February 26th:
In the prairies, the
Conservatives (48%) are up six points, while the Liberals (19%) are down by ten
(February 26th: 42%, and 29% respectively). The NDP (20%) is down by
five points (February 26th: 25%).
Conservative Majority Seen
If an election were
held today, the Conservatives would win 170 seats, the Liberals 128, the NDP
26, the BQ 13, and 1 for the Green.
“Canadians are not
happy with the Liberal budget. The budget is so unpopular in fact, that we're
seeing the leaderless Conservatives gain an edge in popularity for the first
time since 2015,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research.
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
email@example.com or at (416) 960-9603.