CC image courtesy of John McCallum: http://bit.ly/2q6cmJc
More Now Disapprove of
Trudeau Than Approve
Liberals and Conservatives tied, but
Liberals still edge out a minority
Toronto, April 26th
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ amongst
1479 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and leaning, the Liberals (35%) and
the Conservatives (35%) are tied. The NDP is third (17%), with the Green Party
(7%) and the BQ (5%) following behind. (1%) say they support another party.
Liberal support is
down one point since March (36%: March 24th), Conservative support
is down three points (38%: March 24th), NDP support is up two points
(15%: March 24th), Green Party support has almost doubled (4%: March
24th), and BQ support is down one point (5%).
Liberal minority if election held today
If an election were held today, the Conservatives would
win 137 seats, the Liberals 152, the NDP 36, the BQ 12, and 1 for the Green.
The drop in Conservative support since March is matched
by a commensurate drop in potential seats, which sees their total reduced by
33, with the BQ down 1. The Liberals see an increase of 22, the NDP an increase
of 10, with Green unchanged at 1.
Trudeau sees a negative net favourable
disapproval (47%) now exceeds his approval (42%), a net favourable score
(approve minus disapprove) of -5, which a stark contrast from six months ago
when his score was positively in double digits. (10%) say they don’t know
whether they approve or disapprove.
Ambrose sees an approval of (32%) and a disapproval (23%), showing a net
favourable score of +9. Almost half of respondents say they do not (45%)
whether to approve or disapprove.
Mulcair sees an approval of (32%) but his disapproval is higher than that of Ambrose
(29%), but his net favourable is still positive at +3. Almost 4-in-10 (39%) say
they do not know whether to approve or disapprove.
Despite his negative favourable, Trudeau
still seen as best PM
Almost a third see
Justin Trudeau (32%) as the best PM. Only (12%) see Rona Ambrose, and (10%) see
Tom Mulcair as the best candidate for PM.
None of these is the
top second choice (22%), followed by do not know (15%).
level of approval should be of concern to Liberals across the country, as the
once irrepressibly popular Prime Minister now sees his disapproval exceed his
approval. Perhaps it’s the aftermath of an unpopular budget, or just a general lack of interest that
comes with the middle of a mandate, but, whatever the cause, Trudeau doesn’t
seem to be connecting with Canadians right now,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff,
President of Forum Research.
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
email@example.com or at (416) 960-9603.