The Forum Poll™ - Trudeau seeing high levels of disapproval

Conservative Majority if an Election Held Now

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Conservative Majority if an Election Held Now

Trudeau seeing high levels of disapproval

Toronto, April 27th –  In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1585 Canadian voters, 4 in 10 (43%) say they would support the Conservatives, with a third (30%) saying they would support the Liberals.

About one-sixth (14%) say they would support the NDP, with 1 in 10 (8%) saying they would support the Green Party.

Few they would support either the BQ (4%) or another party (1%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the Conservatives include those aged 45-54 (48%), male (51%), earning $80,000-$100,000 (48%) or the most wealthy (51%), the least educated (44%), with some college/university (46%), or with a college/university degree (43%), and living in Alberta (73%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the Liberals include those aged 65+ (38%), females (33%), the least wealthy (32%), or $60,000-$80,000 (34%), with a post-graduate degree (36%), and living in the Atlantic provinces (44%).

Respondents most likely to say they support the NDP include those living on the prairies (MB/SK) (18%) or in BC (20%).

  

 

Conservative majority

Based on these results, we would expect to see a Conservative Majority government of 207 seats.

The Liberals would serve as official opposition with 100 seats, and the NDP would elect 23.

The BQ would elect 6, and the Green would elect 2.

Trudeau approval way down

Justin Trudeau sees approval from one-third (33%), and disapproval from more than half (58%). 1 in 10 (9%) say they do not know.

Trudeau’s net favourable score (approve – disapprove) is -25.

Andrew Scheer sees approval from a third (31%) and disapproval from just under a third (29%). The plurality, however, (40%) say they do not know. Scheer’s net favourable score (approve – disapprove) is +2.

Jagmeet Singh sees approval from one-quarter (24%), and disapproval from 4 in 10 (39%). A similar proportion (39%) say they do not know.

Singh’s net favourable score is -15. 

Trudeau and Scheer tied for best PM

Justin Trudeau (24%) and Andrew Scheer (25%) are tied for the lead on the question of who would make the best PM.

None is third (17%), while Elizabeth May (12%) is fourth.

Jagmeet Singh (8%) is tied with do not know (11%).

Martine Ouellet was selected by few (3%).

 

“Voters seem to have turned away from the Trudeau Liberals,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “Trudeau himself is seeing very high levels of disapproval right now, which could be contributing to the considerable sag in Liberal support. Trudeau is far better known than Scheer or Singh, however, so if the other two leaders can’t raise their profile amongst voters, winning  the next election will be a far harder task for them.”

Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.