CC image courtesy of Willian West: https://bit.ly/2FRSMJu
UNITED CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY
6th - In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum
Poll™ among 1132 Alberta voters, amongst those decided and leaning more than
half of Albertans (55%) say that they would support the United Conservative
A third (32%)
say they would support the NDP and about 1 in 10 (7%) would support the Alberta
Few say they would support either the
Green Party (2%), another party (2%), or the Liberals (1%).
Conservative majority, NDP as opposition
If the election were held today, we
project these results would see a United Conservative Party majority government
with 67 seats. The NDP would serve as opposition with 18 seats, and the
Liberals and Alberta Party would each secure behind at 1 seat.
Albertans watched or heard about debate
A majority of Albertans (83%) either watched
or heard about the Provincial leader’s debate.
4 in 10 Albertans said they watched the Provincial
leader’s debate (44%) , while a similar proportion said they heard about the
debate (39%). A sixth (17%) did not watch or hear anything about the debate.
4 in 10
believe Jason Kenney won debate
Regardless of which leaders Albertans would
vote for, 4 in 10 (41%) believe Jason Kenney won the debate. A quarter (23%)
believe Rachel Notley won the debate, while a sixth (16%) said there was no
(6%) believe David Khan or Stephen Mandel won
the debate and 1 in 10 (9%) stated they ‘don’t know’.
do not believe the debate impacted their vote
Three-quarters (72%) said that the Alberta
provincial leader’s debate did not have any effect on their vote. A quarter
(28%) said that the debate did impact their vote.
Of those who said the debate had an impact on
their vote, 4 in 10 (40%) are more likely to vote for UCP. A third (36%) are
more likely to vote NDP and 1 in 10 (11%) are more likely to vote for the
United Progressive Party holds a big lead over the NDP going into the final week,
with declared support from more than half
of Albertans.” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “A week
may be an eternity in politics, but, at this point, it's going to take a major
shift to jostle Jason Kenney out of the premier's chair."
Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at
firstname.lastname@example.org or at (416) 960-9603.