CC Image courtesy of Andrew Scheer: https://bit.ly/2IGsCMj
Conservatives Maintain Lead
Toronto, June 24th – In a random
sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1539 Canadian voters, amongst those
decided and leaning, a third (35%) say they would support the Conservatives if
an election were held today, unchanged from the beginning of the month (June 1st:
34%).
3 in 10 (29%) say they would support the
Liberals, unchanged from the beginning of the month (June 1st: 30%).
About one-sixth say they would support the NDP
(13%) or Greens (12%).
About 1 in 20 (5%) say they would support the
BQ, while a similar proportion would support the PPC (4%). Few (2%) are
supporting another party.
If these results were projected into seats, we
expect a Conservative minority government of 150 seats, with the Liberals
securing 135.
The NDP would win 32, the BQ would win 16, and
the Greens would win 5.
“The Federal horserace is stable
right now, with little changing between the beginning and middle of June,” said
Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “What might be giving the
Liberal campaign team nightmares is the strength of the Greens and NDP; modest
movement to those parties from the Liberals could allow the Conservatives to steal
seats in close races. The BQ is also a factor, given how important Québec is to
the Liberals. Seeing even 1- or 2-point increases for these opponents could
really hurt Liberal fortunes.”
