On Day 1, Conservatives Have Slight Lead On Liberals

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On Day 1, Conservatives Have Slight Lead On Liberals

Toronto, September 11th, – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Pollamong 1001 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and leaning, a third (36.3%) say they would support the Conservatives, while a similar proportion (32.4%) say they would support the Liberals. 

1 in 10 (11.6%) say they would support the Greens, while a similar proportion (8.6%) say they would support the NDP. 

About 1 in 20 (4.1%) say they would support the BQ, while a similar proportion would support the PPC (4.9%). Few (2.1%) are supporting another party. 

If these results were projected into seats, we expect a Conservative Minority with 168 seats to 138 Liberal. 

The NDP would win 16, the BQ would win 11, and the Green would win 5. The PPC and other parties project to win none.

 

Environment and Economy continue to lead as top issues

 

%

Feb 27 - 28, 2019

April 3 - 6, 2019

June 28 - 30, 2019

July 26- 28, 2019

September 11,

2019

Sample

1301

1634

1812

1733

1001

Environment

15

21

26

26

22.8

Economy

26

28

25

25

22.8

Healthcare

17

13

16

14

15

Taxes

12

12

8

8

10.5

Education

8

7

6

7

8.4

Immigration

10

5

8

8

7.7

Housing

4

5

5

5

3.9

Public Safety

3

3

2

2

3.2

Something else

6

6

5

5

5.7

 

 Economy, Healthcare, and Taxes biggest second issues 

The economy (16.6%), Healthcare (15.7%), and Taxes (14.4%). 

The environment (11.6%) and no second issue (12.1%) follow behind. 

Education (9.8%) and immigration (7.3%) are next. 

Housing (5.5%), public safety (4.1%), and something else (2.8%) bring up the rear.

 

“On Day 1 we see the Conservatives resume their lead, but it's only slight,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “The environment and the economy continue to lead as issues foremost to Canadians right now. How the campaign shifts to match these issues, and how the parties address them, will be fascinating to watch."