Federal Conservatives and Liberals Tied

| Filed under: National

Federal Conservatives and Liberals Tied

Singh sees big bump in favourability, Scheer, a little one

 

Toronto, September 21st – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Pollamong 2449 Canadian voters, amongst those decided and leaning, a third (33%) say they would support the Conservatives if the election were held today, while a similar proportion (33%) say they support the Liberals.

 1 in 10 (11%) say they would support the Greens, while a similar proportion (11%) say they would support the NDP.

 About 1 in 20 (6%) say they would support the BQ, while a similar proportion would support the PPC (5%). Few (2%) are supporting another party. 

 If these results were projected into seats, we expect a minority parliament with the Liberals holding 147 seats and with the Conservatives holding 144.

 The NDP would win 20, the BQ would win 22, and the Green would win 5.


 Trudeau sees approval from more than a third, disapproval from more than half

 Justin Trudeau sees approval from more than a third (37%) and disapproval from more than half (54%), with about 1 in 10 (9%) saying they don’t know. His net favourable score is -17 (approve-disapprove).


 Scheer sees approval from a quarter, and disapproval from half

 A third (31%) say they approve of Andrew Scheer, up slightly from a quarter (July 20: 2019 27%).

 Half (50%) say they disapprove. One-fifth (19%) say they don’t know. Scheer’s net favourable score is -18 (approve-disapprove).


Singh’s approval is at a third, up considerably

 A third (36%) say they approve of Jagmeet Singh, up from a quarter (July 30: 2019, 24%), while a similar proportion (34%) say they disapprove.

 A third (30%) also say they don't know. Singh's net favourable score is a much improved +2, (July 30: -15) (approve-disapprove).


 May’s approval remains strong

 More than 4 in 10 (44%) say they approve of Elizabeth May, while a third (30%) say they disapprove. A quarter (27%) say they do not know. Her net favourable score is +14. (approve-disapprove).


 Trudeau and Scheer tied for best PM

 A third (31%) say Justin Trudeau would make the best Prime Minister, while a similar proportion (29%) say that Andrew Scheer would.

 Both Jagmeet Singh (12%) and Elizabeth May (11%) are seen as best PM by 1 in 10. One-fifth (17%) say they don't know who would make the best PM.


 Canadians divided on whether Canada is better or worse

 Half (TOP2: 49%) say Canada is doing better than four years ago, with one-sixth (16%) saying it's much better.

Half (BTM2: 51%) say it's doing worse, with a third (31%) saying it's doing much worse.

 

 Environment and Economy remain the top issues 

Half of the country says that their most important election issue is either the environment (27%) or the economy (25%).

Healthcare (14%) has been the third most important issue consistently.

 

%

Feb 27 - 28, 2019

April 3 - 6, 2019

June 28 - 30, 2019

July 26- 28, 2019

Sept 11, 2019

Sept 19-21, 2019

Sample

1301

1634

1812

1733

1001

1836

Environment

15

21

26

26

22.8

27

Economy

26

28

25

25

22.8

25

Healthcare

17

13

16

14

15

14

Taxes

12

12

8

8

10.5

10

Immigration

10

5

8

8

8.4

6

Education

8

7

6

7

7.7

6

Housing

4

5

5

5

3.9

5

Public Safety

3

3

2

2

3.2

3

Something else

6

6

5

5

5.7

5

 

 

 







“Despite their proliferation in the media, the pictures of the Prime Minister haven't severely impacted the Liberals yet,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. “Of course that could change with four weeks of campaigning left to go, however. What should concern the Liberal campaign is the considerable improvement in the approval numbers of Jagmeet Singh. The Liberals are the primary beneficiaries of a weak NDP, and if Singh's approval continues to rise, we can expect to see NDP support rise with it."