Liberals Maintain a Small Lead in Neck and Neck Federal Election Among Voters in the GTA

| Filed under: National, Toronto

Toronto, Sept 11th, 2021 – In the first poll conducted following the federal election English debate by Forum Research among GTA voters, 39% of decided / leaning voters would vote Liberal,  followed by Conservatives (33%), NDP (15%), People’s Party of Canada (10%), and Green 3%, if the election were held today. This is in contrast to the results of the same poll at the federal level, where Conservatives enjoy a slight edge at 31% compared to Liberals at 28%.

Since the last poll conducted by Forum Research on Aug 15th, the most notable difference is that the support for the People’s Party of Canada increased significantly from 6% to 10%.

Liberals enjoy much stronger support in the 416 at 42%, followed by Conservatives (34%), NDP (12%), People’s Party of Canada (7%), and Green (4%).

Liberals (36%) have a slight edge over Conservatives (33%) in the 905, followed by NDP (17%), People’s Party of Canada (12%), and Green (2%).

Respondents most likely to say they will support the Liberals include aged 65+ (50%), and female (45%).

Respondents most likely to say they will support the Conservatives include those aged 45-54 (40%), male (39%).

Respondents most likely to say they will support the NDP include those younger than 25 years old (42%) and female (16%).

These results will change as voting intentions change and are subject to the usual margins of error.

The poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 493 randomly selected eligible voters in the Greater Toronto Area. The poll was conducted on Sept 10th, 2021. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 4%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample and regional results will be less accurate.  Margins of error for subsample and regional results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.

This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather captures opinion at one point in time. The poll was sponsored by Forum Research Inc. as a public service. With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms.