King on track for majority win

King on track for majority win

47% plan to vote Progressive Conservative

Toronto, April 2^nd– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 424 PEI voters, nearly half (47%) of those who are decided or leaning are likely to vote for the Progressive Conservatives. The Greens come in second with 28% support, followed by the Liberals with 20% and the NDP at 4%. Fewer than 2% plan to vote for other parties.

 

PCs firmly in majority territory

We project 23 seats for the Progressive Conservatives, 2 for the Greens and 2 for the Liberals.

“The Progressive Conservatives are well positioned for another victory,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff, President of Forum Research. "Premier King appears to have secured a majority government."

 

NDP losing most support

Among those decided and leading who voted PC in the last election, 75% intend to vote PC again. In comparison, 64% of those who voted Green in 2019 intend to vote Green again, and 48% of those who voted Liberal intend to vote Liberal. Support for the NDP is the most fragmented, with only 31% of those who are decided and leaning and voted NDP in the last election still planning to vote NDP.

The poll was conducted by Forum Research with the results based on an interactive voice response telephone survey of 424 randomly selected PEI residents over the age of 18, 72% by cellphone and 28% on landlines. The poll was conducted on March 31^st, 2023. Results based on the total sample are considered accurate +/- 4.8%, 19 times out of 20. Subsample and regional results will be less accurate. Margins of error for subsample and regional results are available at www.forumresearch.com/samplestim.asp.

This research is not necessarily predictive of future outcomes, but rather captures opinion at one point in time.

With offices across Canada and around the world, 100% Canadian owned Forum Research is one of the country’s leading survey research firms.

Forum Research follows the CRIC Public Opinion Research Standards and Disclosure Requirements that can be found here: https://canadianresearchinsightscouncil.ca/standards/