Chow loses share
TORONTO OCTOBER
26th, 2014 - In a final random sampling of public opinion taken by the
Forum Poll™ two days before Toronto's mayoral election among 986 likely,
decided and leaning Toronto voters and those who had voted already, well more
than 4-in-10 will support John Tory for mayor (44%), while just one third will
vote Doug Ford (32%) for a 12 point lead. Just more than a fifth will vote
Olivia Chow (21%), and very few will vote for another candidate (3%). This is
similar to vote shares seen last week (October 20 - Tory 43%, Ford 29%, Chow
25%), although Olivia Chow has seen her share slip, while Doug Ford's has
increased slightly.
"The Tory
story has been one of slow and steady progression from third to first place,
and he seems destined, finally, to be mayor on Tuesday morning. By contrast, Olivia
Chow may have teased us too long, peaked too early and lost relevance by the
end of the campaign. Doug Ford had Ford Nation on his side, of course, but
there's a hard ceiling of about 35% on that group, and it doesn't appear to be
enough to defeat the consensus candidate," said Forum
Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and
founder of Forum Research. He can be reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.
