Tory Doubles Up Doug Ford in Head-to-Head Electoral
Contest
Add Cressy and little
changes
TORONTO
November 16th – In a random sampling of public opinion taken by the
Forum Poll™ among 778 Toronto voters, more than half would vote to re-elect
John Tory as mayor if an election were held today (53%) while just half as many
as this would vote for Doug Ford, if he ran (24%). A similar number of voters
would want to vote for someone else (23%). Support for Tory is common to older
voters (55 to 64 - 62%), in North York (61%), and those who don’t commute to
work or school (67%). Doug Ford’s supporters are characteristically the least
wealthy (30%), in Etobicoke and York (30% each) and Scarborough (33%) and among
the least educated (secondary school or less - 38%). Those who commute by
private vehicle are also supporters (31%).
When
progressive councillor Joe Cressy (who has not indicated any desire to run) is
added to the mix, little changes. John Tory still receives half the vote (49%)
and Doug Ford about a quarter (27%). Cressy gets less than a tenth of the vote
(8%) and about one sixth prefer someone else (16%). Support for Cressy is
characteristic of the wealthy ($80K to $100K - 13%), in the downtown (15%),
among the most educated (post grad - 12%), those who commute by bicycle (30%)
and among those who voted for Olivia Chow in 2014 (20%).
“It’s
early times to talk about the 2018 election, of course, but it appears John
Tory is widely preferred to another member of the Ford dynasty. And when we add
a progressive councillor as a placeholder on the left, little changes. The
centre holds,” said Forum
Research President, Dr. Lorne Bozinoff.
Lorne
Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be
reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603.
