CC Image courtesy of Bruce Reeve: http://bit.ly/2qEL7Ft
It’s a Race: Tory
and Ford Virtually Tied
Toronto, May 31st
– In a random sampling of public opinion taken by The Forum Poll™ among 1035
Toronto voters, amongst those decided and leaning, John Tory (40%) is
statistically tied with Doug Ford (38%), who remains undeclared as a candidate.
Tory’s lead over
Ford is now only 2 points, which is within the margin of error. It’s down from
11 points in April. (29%: Nov 8; 19%: Feb 6; 16%: Mar 10; 11%: April 5)
Almost a quarter (22%)
prefer someone else to either Ford or Tory.
Respondents most
likely to support Tory include those aged 45-54 (47%), the least wealthy (41%),
earning $20,000-$40,000 (43%) or $80,000-$100,000 (41%), and the most wealthy (44%).
Those with some college or university (45%) or a post-graduate degree (43%), and
living in Scarborough (45%) are also likely to support the mayor.
Respondents most
likely to support Doug Ford include those aged 55-64 (46%) or over 65 (46%), earning
$40,000-$60,000 (38%) or $60,000-$80,000 (40%), with a college or university
degree (44%), and living in Etobicoke (46%).
Despite the narrowing gap, Tory’s approval up slightly
John Tory’s approval continues
to be around fifty-percent, with (50%) responding they approve of the Mayor’s
performance, up 3 points since April (47%: April 5), with (31%) responding they
disapprove, down 3 points since April (33%: April 5) and (19%) saying they
don’t know.
Respondents most
likely to approve of the Mayor’s performance include those aged 65+ (58%),
males (53%), earning $60,000-$80,000 (54%), the most wealthy (57%), and with a
post-graduate degree (54%).
Respondents most
likely to disapprove of the Mayor’s performance include those aged 35-44 (42%),
earning $20,000-$40,000 (36%), $40,000-$60,000 (35%), or $80,000-$100,000
(37%).
“Doug Ford and John
Tory are virtually tied, which is remarkable given that just six months ago
John Tory led Ford by almost thirty-percent. Perhaps what makes this result all
the more concerning for the mayor, is that support is galvanizing against him
for a candidate that hasn’t even declared yet,” said Dr. Lorne Bozinoff,
President of Forum Research.
Lorne
Bozinoff, Ph.D. is the president and founder of Forum Research. He can be
reached at lbozinoff@forumresearch.com or at (416) 960-9603
